Editing The answer to Nightmares?/research

Approximate functions:

Failure:
{{SCurveTable
|Condition = Watchful |Condition alias = Base Watchful |Use Condition = no |Effect = Exact watchful factor
|xmin = 1 |xmax = 230
|y_offset=-1 |height=-2 |midpoint=150 |k=0.05
|Round=no |compact=yes |lowcap=yes |highcap = yes
}}

Success:
{{SCurveTable
|Condition = Watchful |Condition alias = Base Watchful |Use Condition = no |Effect = Exact appalling factor
|xmin = 1 |xmax = 230
|y_offset=4 |height=6 |midpoint=150 |k=0.05
|Round=no |compact=yes |lowcap=yes |highcap = yes
}}

To find result, multiply factor by ({{IL|Nightmares}} + 1)


{| class="article-table sortable" style="text-align: right;"
|+Research on [[The answer to Nightmares?]] possible results:
!Base {{IL|Watchful|Appearance=}} !! Effective {{IL|Nightmares|Appearance=}}
!{{IL|Luck|Appearance=}} Result !! {{IL|Watchful|Appearance=}} cp change !! {{IL|Appalling Secret|Appearance=AS}} gains !! by
|-
|102 ||  4 || Unlucky ||  -6 ||    || [[User:Storm|Storm]]
|-
|102 ||  3 || Unlucky ||  -5 ||    || [[User:Storm|Storm]]
|-
|103 || 3 || Unlucky ||  -5 ||    || [[User:Storm|Storm]]
|-
|104 || 3 || Unlucky ||  -5 ||    || [[User:Storm|Storm]]
|-
|108 || 4 ||  Lucky  ||   8 || 23 || [[User:Storm|Storm]]
|-
|110 || 4 ||  Lucky  ||   8 || 24 || [[User:Storm|Storm]]
|-
|117 || 5 || Unlucky ||  -8 ||    || [[User:Storm|Storm]]
|-
|121 || 4 ||  Lucky  ||   8 || 26 || [[User:Storm|Storm]]
|-
|128 ||  3 || Unlucky ||  -6 ||    || [[User:Storm|Storm]]
|-
|129 ||  3 ||  Lucky  ||   8 || 22 || [[User:Storm|Storm]]
|-
|135 || 4 ||  Lucky  ||   8 || 30 || [[User:Storm|Storm]]
|-
|136 || 4 || Unlucky ||  -8 ||    || [[User:Storm|Storm]]
|-
|137 || 4 ||  Lucky  ||   8 || 30 || [[User:Storm|Storm]]
|-
|138 || 3 ||  Lucky  ||   8 || 25 || [[User:Storm|Storm]]
|-
|138 || 3 || Unlucky ||  -7 ||    || [[User:Storm|Storm]]
|-
|139 || 3 || Unlucky ||  -7 ||    || [[User:Storm|Storm]]
|-
|141 || 3 ||  Lucky  ||   8 || 25 || [[User:Storm|Storm]]
|-
|141 || 2 || Unlucky ||  -5 ||    || [[User:Storm|Storm]]
|-
|142 ||  4 || Unlucky ||  -9 ||    || [[User:Storm|Storm]]
|-
|150 ||  3 || Unlucky ||  -8 ||    || [[User:Storm|Storm]]
|-
|153 || 1 ||  Lucky  ||     || 14 || [[User:mzs|mzs]]
|-
|156 ||  1 || Unlucky ||  -4 ||    || [[User:mzs|mzs]]
|-
|156 ||  2 || Unlucky ||  -6 ||    || [[User:mzs|mzs]]
|-
|157 || 3 || Unlucky ||  -9 ||    || [[User:Storm|Storm]]
|-
|161 || 1 || Unlucky ||  -5 ||    || [[User:mzs|mzs]]
|-
|163 ||  3 || Unlucky ||  -9 ||    || [[User:Storm|Storm]]
|-
|165 || 7 || Unlucky || -19 ||    || [[User:Aximillio|Aximillio]]
|-
|170 || 3 || Unlucky || -10 ||    || [[User:Storm|Storm]]
|-
|180 || 3 ||  Lucky  ||   8 || 36 || [[User:Storm|Storm]]
|-
|195 || 3 ||  Lucky  ||   8 || 38 || [[User:Storm|Storm]]
|-
|195 || 3 ||  Lucky  ||   8 || 38 || [[User:Storm|Storm]]
|-
|200 ||  2 ||  Lucky  ||  -  || 29 || [[User:Storm|Storm]]
|-
|207 || 6 ||  Lucky  ||     || 68 || [[User:Cheeze120|Cheeze120]]
|-
|212 || 3 ||  Lucky  ||     || 39 || [[User:34Witches|34Witches]]
|-
|212 || 4 ||  Lucky  ||     || 49 || [[User:34Witches|34Witches]]
|-
|212 || 4 || Unlucky || -15 ||    || [[User:34Witches|34Witches]]
|-
|212 ||  6 || Unlucky || -20 ||    || [[User:34Witches|34Witches]]
|-
|212 ||  6 ||  Lucky  ||     || 68 || [[User:34Witches|34Witches]]
|-
|212 || 7 || Unlucky || -23 ||    || [[User:34Witches|34Witches]]
|-
|212 || 10 || Unlucky || -32 ||    || [[User:Aximillio|Aximillio]]
|-
|217 ||  1 ||  Lucky  ||     || 20 || [[User:mzs|mzs]]
|-
|217 ||  5 ||  Lucky  ||     || 59 || [[User:PSGarak|PSGarak]]
|-
|218 || 0 || Unlucky || -3 ||    || [[User:34Witches|34Witches]]
|-
|218 || 0 || Lucky ||  || 10  || [[User:RagCall|RagCall]]
|-
|218 ||  2 ||  Lucky  ||     || 29 || [[User:mzs|mzs]]
|-
|218 ||  3 || Unlucky || -12 ||    || [[User:mzs|mzs]]
|-
|218 || 3 ||  Lucky  ||     || 39 || [[User:mzs|mzs]]
|-
|228 ||  6 ||  Lucky  ||     || 69 || [[User:Aximillio|Aximillio]]
|-
|218 || 5 ||Unlucky || -18||   ||[[User:RagCall|RagCall]]
|-
|218 || 1 ||Unlucky || -6||   ||[[User:RagCall|RagCall]]
|-
|218 || 4 ||Unlucky || -15||   ||[[User:RagCall|RagCall]]
|-
|230 || 6 ||  Unlucky  || -18  ||  || [[User:Aximillio|Aximillio]]
|-
|229 || 7 ||  Lucky  ||  || 79 || [[User:Aximillio|Aximillio]]
|}

{| class="article-table sortable" style="text-align: right;"
|+Compact Lucky Table
!Base {{IL|Watchful|Appearance=}} !!Effective {{IL|Nightmares|Appearance=}}
!{{IL|Appalling Secret|Appearance=AS}} gains !! AS / (Nightmares + 1)
|-
|    153 ||  1 || 14 || 7
|-
|    217 ||  1 || 20 || 10
|-
|200–218 ||  2 || 29 || 9.67
|-
|    129 ||  3 || 22 || 5.5
|- 
|135-137 || 4 || 30 || 6
|-
|138–141 ||  3 || 25 || 6.25
|-
|    180 ||  3 || 36 || 9
|-
|    195 ||  3 || 38 || 9.5
|-
|212–218 ||  3 || 39 || 9.75
|-
|    108 ||  4 || 23 || 4.6
|-
|    110 ||  4 || 24 || 4.8
|-
|    121 ||  4 || 26 || 5.2
|-
|    212 ||  4 || 49 || 9.8
|-
|    217 ||  5 || 59 || 9.83
|-
|  218 ||  0 || 10 || 10
|-
|207–212 ||  6 || 68 || 9.71
|-
|228 || 6 ||  69 || 9.86
|-
|229 || 7 ||  79 || 9.88
|}

{| class="article-table sortable" style="text-align: right;"
|+Compact Unlucky Table
!Base {{IL|Watchful|Appearance=}} !!Effective {{IL|Nightmares|Appearance=}}
!{{IL|Watchful|Appearance=}} cp loss
!cp loss / (Nightmares + 1)
|-
|    156 ||  1 || -4 ||-2
|-
|    161 ||  1 || -5 ||-2.5
|-
|    141 ||  2 || -5 || - 1.67
|-
|    156 ||  2 || -6 || -2
|-
|102–104 ||  3 || -5 || -1.25
|-
|    128 ||  3 || -6 || -1.5
|-
|138–139 ||  3 || -7 || -1.75
|-
|    150 ||  3 || -8 || -2
|-
|157–163 ||  3 || -9 || -2.25
|-
|    170 ||  3 || -10 || -2.5
|-
|    218 ||  3 || -12 || -3
|-
|    102 ||  4 || -6 || -1.2
|-
|    136 ||  4 || -8 || -1.6
|-
|    142 ||  4 || -9 || -1.8
|-
|212-218 ||  4 || -15 || -3
|-
|    117 ||  5 || -8  || -1.33
|-
|218-230 ||5   || -18 || -3
|-
|    212 ||  6 || -20 || -2.86
|-
|    165 ||  7 || -19 || -2.38
|-
|    212 ||  7 || -23 || -2.875
|-
|    212 || 10 || -32 || -2.91
|-
|    218 || 1  || -6  || -3
|- 
|    218 || 0 || -3 || -3
|-   
|    230 || 6 || -18 || -2.57
|}