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You do not make your case so much as you reveal the gaps in your understanding, the evidence of your eyes, the brevity of your exposure to the Illuminated. The heady insistence of violant, which forges that which may not be into ironclad certainty.
The Forlorn Shepherd does you the courtesy of listening. When you finish, he hefts his crook and goes to stand away from the camp. His eyes are fixed upwards, to where the Moon-Misers roam.
You've lost 5 x The Hopes of a Shepherd (new total 0).
You've gained 2 x The Shepherd's Rejections (new total 3). Your 'The Shepherd's Revelations' Quality has gone!