Make a move you know will work
From Fallen London Wiki
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From: Oversee the Middle Game
You have seen this done before. It follows recent events on the Surface.
Game Instructions: This will consume a Move in the Great Game in exchange for winning progress.
Unlocked with 
1 x Moves in the Great Game
Success
Before or after
Sometimes a move here causes a change on the Surface. A knight attacks; the next day a provocateur dies, a ship sinks, a border is re-drawn […]
But sometimes the world leads and Parabola follows. As here. This is a winning step.[Find the rest of the story at https://www.fallenlondon.com]
You've lost 1 x Moves in the Great Game
You've gained 1 x Progress on the Board
You've gained 1 x Positional Advantages
You now have (
Positional Advantages - 
Strategic Weaknesses) x Position on the Board: Distance ahead- You now have ( Strategic Weaknesses - Positional Advantages) x Position on the Board: Distance behind
